Rate of Innovation Part II

As a child I was a keen chess player but I have not played regularly for over 20 years.  That has changed recently with technology giving me two new ways to play and practice.  First, I have bought a chess computer game on my Sidekick II.  I can now play a game in 5 minutes against a computer during idle times such as waiting for MUNI.  Second, Auren Hoffman invited me to play online at Red Hot Pawn where you can play multiple asynchronous games against other people over the web.  I am still playing my first game with Auren which started on February 19th.  I must admit I am finding the lack of rhythm a challenge with a game spread out over several weeks but it's good to be playing a human being rather than a computer

Speaking of human beings vs computers, as I have been laid up in bed for a couple of days trying to shake off a virus, so in between sleeping and drinking lots of water I took the opportunity to watch the DVD Game Over about Gary Kasparov's chess match against IBM's Deep Blue in 1997.  The premise of the documentary is intriguing - IBM cheated to beat Kasparov to bolster their flagging image - but the execution and evidence presented is circumstantial and hearsay at best.  Putting aside the premise and just examining the trends - Kasparov beats computer in 1996, Kasparov loses to computer in 1997, Kasparov draws to computer in 2003 - the seemingly slower rate (backwards?) of innovation is in marked contrast to that shown in the DARPA Grand Challenge.  Why is this?

The reason that first comes to mind is that the tasks differ in their complexity.  My gut instinct is that the task of getting a car to autonomously drive from A to B on a known course is less complex than defeating the world's greatest chess player with more playing permutations than there are atoms in the universe.  However, upon further reflection it's not clear that the number of known permutations is the best measure of complexity.  The number of chess permutations is enormous (10 to the power of 120) but there is no element of randomness, unlike the DARPA Grand Challenge where the cars have to deal with other cars, weather conditions, changing gradients, etc.

I shall noodle on this some more, but it's a cautionary tale on extrapolating from just a few data points to a wider conclusion.

Comments

[Ben Casnocha]

Dude, I'm a big time chess player, and am on my 3rd game with Auren on RedHotPawn. I just invited you to a game. You're going down!!!

We should play someday in the Cole Valley.

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[Richard]

You should try playing Arimaa (http://www.arimaa.com ). Although it is played using a standard chess set and board the rules are different and the number of possible moves per turn is way more than chess. This means the best computer programs are hopeless against top-rated humans. The inventor of the game has offered US$10,000 to anyone that can program a computer to beat a top rated player. It's been tried several times but no-one has done it yet!

It is actually also quite a fun game to play. The Wikipedia article probably does a better job of explaining it than me: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arimaa

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I, too, am a chess player, but I'm continually drawn away from the game because of too many real issues that require my brain's cpu. Here's my latest fascination:

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My proposal describes an entrepreneurial mechanism through which we can fund a massive number of new business ventures (to create a massive number of new jobs) by tapping the financial power of Wall Street. It is a private-sector proactive approach to remedy the high unemployment problem. Titled "A Modest Proposal to Save the American Economy: Entrepreneurial Blitzkrieg as Job Creation Vehicle," the proposal has been published online at Salem-News.com (and various other places):

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I saw this quote from her the other day and thought you might be interested. "A letdown is worth a few songs. A heartbreak is worth a few albums" I can fully agree with her on this point but there is something I don't like about her songs. No, really, they are like similar to each other and either about love or heartbreak which is probably the same thing. I would advise vanessa hudgens sex tape to step of a bit that kind of theme as first of all, she repels guys with her music by saying how some boy let someone down or something. And singing about love will only attract women and I don't think you are a lesbian.

Wow, I didn't expect this review will be that nice which means I did a good job here.

You probably came here for some teresa palmer nude, right? Then please explain me one thing... What the hell are you waiting for?

Who would thought that we will watch one day these gorgeous pics of kathleen robertson nude and will talk about the way her tits look on them. By the way, let's do that. I think her tits are pretty nice except for the fact that small. But I guess that's ok as she is only 20 years old and maybe they will grow a bit in some nearest future... At least that's what all her male fans hope for. I actually don't think that all men who can say barbara eden nude is one of their favorites, love her for her songs... They surely like her sexuality and the way she looks.

Now it would be appropriate to put this quote here... And just so you know it is from her. "Somebody who has a compatible sense of humor with me, this would be the most important thing," I have a huge sense of humor that can probably beat yours, gemma arterton nude. If you don't believe me then come on... bring it on. But being serious, I wish her to find that kind of guy that would make her laugh every day and she couldn't stop loving him for that... Damn it, I sound like gay again... Damn her songs, they make me feel sissy. See, I told you I can be fun.

Sad, very sad to say that but this is the end of my review... So I guess goodbye.

This good girl can be gone bad pretty soon. Take a chance to look at kim kardashian nude pics here and you will understand what I am talking about. But for me, being bad is kind of sexy.

I wonder what it is like to see kim kardashian pussy live standing right in front of you. This chance will get only her boyfriend I guess and no one else... Well, maybe some doctor but I was talking about having sex. That fellow will be very happy and I will be calling him the luckiest son of a bitch, in a good way of course. Man, I wish I was her boyfriend just for one night and I would make a party and invite all my friends so they were jealous. And then, on the next morning I would say to them that I dumped her. That would be cool.

I remember this quote from her that I am sure you will find both, hilarious and useful "I feel kind of unnatural looking down to people and they looking up to you" What to do laura prepon nude? You are such tall. I mean she is almost 6 feet sharp and now imagine her wearing high heels... She will be about 6'2 or something after that. I wonder what kind of guy she wants for herself... Probably 6'6 or something, but not less... I bet she needs a basketball player to date with. Yeah, that's it. They will look kind of sexy and very unreachable for paparazzi if you know what I am saying.

So anyway, I hope you keep reading my reviews because they are fun and very hot.

Would you like to see maria ozawa sex video? If that's so, then I welcome you. This place is something where you can check her out totally without her clothes.
What do we know about her ass? I don't mind calling it two nice pies because that is a precise description for it. If you look at this michelle keegan nude I have hot right here you will be able to check her butt in some different angle which will give you some very nice view of it. But the point is to appreciate them, so go ahead.
I forgot about one thing to put here... it is her quote "I always have an idea who I want to thank if I win" This is pretty obvious. In fact, I say there is no celebrity that would say something quite extraordinary during that ceremony of winning speech. They all sound very banal and to be honest people are getting sick of it. I think, if they don't come up with something spicy or at least unique and different from those "thanks" the crowd won't be clapping at all because this is getting all people bored. Come one you guys, you are so smart... eva longoria naked, you are not stupid blond, aren't you? Then think of anything that would differ from those "I want to thank my producer and my fans. Nothing would be possible without you. Also thanks to my cat Kittles as he inspired me so much with his peeing on my shoes" and some other crap like that.
Yeah, this was pretty fun and I liked it very much. I hope you have same feelings about this. Bye.